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Home » Editorial » Archive » Bingo Probabilities

The following statistics were calculated and compiled by The Wizard of Odds. The Wizard of Odds is Michael Shackleford, A.S.A., a professional actuary who has made a career of analyzing casino games. You can find further details of his work at http://wizardofodds.com

The following table shows the probability of getting a single line, cover-all, or four corners within a specified number of calls on any one card. For example the probability of a single player forming a bingo within 25 calls is 0.06396106, or about 6.4%.

It's important to note that these statistics reflect the probability of achieving a result on any one (singular) bingo card. These are not the odds of winning bingo in a bingo hall or room.

Probabilties in Bingo
Number
of Calls
Single Line Cover-all Four Corners
10.000000000.000000000.00000000
20.000000000.000000000.00000000
30.000000000.000000000.00000000
40.000003290.000000000.00000082
50.000016920.000000000.00000411
60.000052150.000000000.00001234
70.000124920.000000000.00002880
80.000256320.000000000.00005759
90.000473050.000000000.00010367
100.000807830.000000000.00017278
110.001299860.000000000.00027150
120.001995210.000000000.00040726
130.002947150.000000000.00058826
140.004216480.000000000.00082356
150.005871670.000000000.00112304
160.007989050.000000000.00149739
170.010652720.000000000.00195812
180.013954400.000000000.00251759
190.017993090.000000000.00318894
200.022874450.000000000.00398618
210.028710030.000000000.00492410
220.035616140.000000000.00601835
230.043712490.000000000.00728537
240.053120450.000000000.00874244
250.063961060.000000000.01040767
260.076352610.000000000.01229997
270.090407990.000000000.01443910
280.106231630.000000000.01684561
290.123916280.000000000.01954091
300.143539470.000000000.02254720
310.165159930.000000000.02588753
320.188813910.000000000.02958575
330.214511540.000000000.03366654
340.242233480.000000000.03815542
350.271927830.000000000.04307870
360.303507590.000000000.04846353
370.336848760.000000000.05433790
380.371789330.000000000.06073059
390.408129160.000000000.06767123
400.445631110.000000000.07519026
410.484023280.000000010.08331894
420.523002690.000000010.09208935
430.562240210.000000030.10153441
440.601386850.000000070.11168785
450.640081230.000000150.12258423
460.677958180.000000310.13425892
470.714658100.000000630.14674812
480.749836860.000001250.16008886
490.783175880.000002450.17431898
500.814391910.000004720.18947715
510.843246140.000008910.20560286
520.869552070.000016540.22273644
530.893181700.000030230.24091900
540.914069740.000054410.26019252
550.932215280.000096540.28059978
560.947680800.000168940.30218438
570.960588460.000291800.32499074
580.971113530.000497780.34906413
590.979475390.000839120.37445061
600.985926390.001398530.40119709
610.990739280.002305690.42935127
620.994193790.003761920.45896170
630.996563460.006076940.49007775
640.998103540.009723110.52274960
650.999040800.015414680.55702826
660.999566260.024223080.59296557
670.999831220.037742930.63061418
680.999946990.058329990.67002756
690.999988120.089439310.71126003
700.999998610.136103300.75436670
711.000000000.205602860.79940351
721.000000000.308404290.84642725
731.000000000.459459460.89549550
741.000000000.680000000.94666667
751.000000001.000000001.00000000

The Wizard of Odds' method of analysis is entirely mathematical. The probability of x marks on the card given y calls is easily calculated as combin(24,x)*combin(51,y-x)/combin(75,y). The probability that x marks will form a bingo (five in a row) is more compicated and necessitated a computer program to run through all possible combinations and tabulate the results.

Source: http://wizardofodds.com

by Editor - 10/11/05

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