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The following statistics were calculated and compiled by The Wizard of Odds. The Wizard of Odds is Michael Shackleford, A.S.A., a professional actuary who has made a career of analyzing casino games. You can find further details of his work at http://wizardofodds.com
The following table shows the probability of getting a single line, cover-all, or four corners within a specified number of calls on any one card. For example the probability of a single player forming a bingo within 25 calls is 0.06396106, or about 6.4%.
It's important to note that these statistics reflect the probability of achieving a result on any one (singular) bingo card. These are not the odds of winning bingo in a bingo hall or room.
| Probabilties in Bingo | Number of Calls | Single Line | Cover-all | Four Corners | | 1 | 0.00000000 | 0.00000000 | 0.00000000 | | 2 | 0.00000000 | 0.00000000 | 0.00000000 | | 3 | 0.00000000 | 0.00000000 | 0.00000000 | | 4 | 0.00000329 | 0.00000000 | 0.00000082 | | 5 | 0.00001692 | 0.00000000 | 0.00000411 | | 6 | 0.00005215 | 0.00000000 | 0.00001234 | | 7 | 0.00012492 | 0.00000000 | 0.00002880 | | 8 | 0.00025632 | 0.00000000 | 0.00005759 | | 9 | 0.00047305 | 0.00000000 | 0.00010367 | | 10 | 0.00080783 | 0.00000000 | 0.00017278 | | 11 | 0.00129986 | 0.00000000 | 0.00027150 | | 12 | 0.00199521 | 0.00000000 | 0.00040726 | | 13 | 0.00294715 | 0.00000000 | 0.00058826 | | 14 | 0.00421648 | 0.00000000 | 0.00082356 | | 15 | 0.00587167 | 0.00000000 | 0.00112304 | | 16 | 0.00798905 | 0.00000000 | 0.00149739 | | 17 | 0.01065272 | 0.00000000 | 0.00195812 | | 18 | 0.01395440 | 0.00000000 | 0.00251759 | | 19 | 0.01799309 | 0.00000000 | 0.00318894 | | 20 | 0.02287445 | 0.00000000 | 0.00398618 | | 21 | 0.02871003 | 0.00000000 | 0.00492410 | | 22 | 0.03561614 | 0.00000000 | 0.00601835 | | 23 | 0.04371249 | 0.00000000 | 0.00728537 | | 24 | 0.05312045 | 0.00000000 | 0.00874244 | | 25 | 0.06396106 | 0.00000000 | 0.01040767 | | 26 | 0.07635261 | 0.00000000 | 0.01229997 | | 27 | 0.09040799 | 0.00000000 | 0.01443910 | | 28 | 0.10623163 | 0.00000000 | 0.01684561 | | 29 | 0.12391628 | 0.00000000 | 0.01954091 | | 30 | 0.14353947 | 0.00000000 | 0.02254720 | | 31 | 0.16515993 | 0.00000000 | 0.02588753 | | 32 | 0.18881391 | 0.00000000 | 0.02958575 | | 33 | 0.21451154 | 0.00000000 | 0.03366654 | | 34 | 0.24223348 | 0.00000000 | 0.03815542 | | 35 | 0.27192783 | 0.00000000 | 0.04307870 | | 36 | 0.30350759 | 0.00000000 | 0.04846353 | | 37 | 0.33684876 | 0.00000000 | 0.05433790 | | 38 | 0.37178933 | 0.00000000 | 0.06073059 | | 39 | 0.40812916 | 0.00000000 | 0.06767123 | | 40 | 0.44563111 | 0.00000000 | 0.07519026 | | 41 | 0.48402328 | 0.00000001 | 0.08331894 | | 42 | 0.52300269 | 0.00000001 | 0.09208935 | | 43 | 0.56224021 | 0.00000003 | 0.10153441 | | 44 | 0.60138685 | 0.00000007 | 0.11168785 | | 45 | 0.64008123 | 0.00000015 | 0.12258423 | | 46 | 0.67795818 | 0.00000031 | 0.13425892 | | 47 | 0.71465810 | 0.00000063 | 0.14674812 | | 48 | 0.74983686 | 0.00000125 | 0.16008886 | | 49 | 0.78317588 | 0.00000245 | 0.17431898 | | 50 | 0.81439191 | 0.00000472 | 0.18947715 | | 51 | 0.84324614 | 0.00000891 | 0.20560286 | | 52 | 0.86955207 | 0.00001654 | 0.22273644 | | 53 | 0.89318170 | 0.00003023 | 0.24091900 | | 54 | 0.91406974 | 0.00005441 | 0.26019252 | | 55 | 0.93221528 | 0.00009654 | 0.28059978 | | 56 | 0.94768080 | 0.00016894 | 0.30218438 | | 57 | 0.96058846 | 0.00029180 | 0.32499074 | | 58 | 0.97111353 | 0.00049778 | 0.34906413 | | 59 | 0.97947539 | 0.00083912 | 0.37445061 | | 60 | 0.98592639 | 0.00139853 | 0.40119709 | | 61 | 0.99073928 | 0.00230569 | 0.42935127 | | 62 | 0.99419379 | 0.00376192 | 0.45896170 | | 63 | 0.99656346 | 0.00607694 | 0.49007775 | | 64 | 0.99810354 | 0.00972311 | 0.52274960 | | 65 | 0.99904080 | 0.01541468 | 0.55702826 | | 66 | 0.99956626 | 0.02422308 | 0.59296557 | | 67 | 0.99983122 | 0.03774293 | 0.63061418 | | 68 | 0.99994699 | 0.05832999 | 0.67002756 | | 69 | 0.99998812 | 0.08943931 | 0.71126003 | | 70 | 0.99999861 | 0.13610330 | 0.75436670 | | 71 | 1.00000000 | 0.20560286 | 0.79940351 | | 72 | 1.00000000 | 0.30840429 | 0.84642725 | | 73 | 1.00000000 | 0.45945946 | 0.89549550 | | 74 | 1.00000000 | 0.68000000 | 0.94666667 | | 75 | 1.00000000 | 1.00000000 | 1.00000000 |
The Wizard of Odds' method of analysis is entirely mathematical. The probability of x marks on the card given y calls is easily calculated as combin(24,x)*combin(51,y-x)/combin(75,y). The probability that x marks will form a bingo (five in a row) is more compicated and necessitated a computer program to run through all possible combinations and tabulate the results.
by Editor - 10/11/05 Back to archive
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